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Analysis

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Navigate the polarised arguments and understand why events are happening, who benefits, and the potential scenarios.

Learn more

The Two-Minute Briefing

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Listen to trusted, well-researched, reliable, and accurate analysis.

Find out more

Advisory

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Our team have a proven track record of providing accurate, relevant, and focused expertise enabling decision-makers to predict scenarios and make sound choices.

Find out more
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Insights


Understanding
Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy


Mohamed Bin Salman has made a splash since he was handed the reins of control from his father King Salman. The kingdom has since entered into a war with the Houthis in Yemen, engaged heavily as a partner in constructing the ‘Deal of the Century’, announced ambitious reforms in NEOM and Vision 2030, imprisoned a whole swathe of influential social figures, ripped apart unwritten rules within the family, broken the sanctity of ARAMCO, and promised lucrative deals to woo Donald Trump despite an ailing economy.
However, behind this explosion of events is a perfectly logical reasoning that suggests there is more method to the madness than is often appreciated.

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Why Bin Salman cannot abandon his alliance with UAE

Bin Salman’s alliance with the UAE is not solely built on personal friendship with Bin Zayed. It is also built on geopolitical realities. Aside from Abu Dhabi, Bin Salman has very few immediate alternatives.

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Will Sudan's army abide by civilian rule?

Although Sudan looks ostensibly to be a revolution, a fairer analysis points to a coup, a divided army that was taken advantage of by the UAE and Saudi, and an attempted plan to salvage power by Bashir that went awry.


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Who let Haftar attack Tripoli?

Haftar believes that in his advance on Tripoli, there are two possible outcomes. The first is that he seizes Tripoli itself and becomes the number one de facto power in Libya. He would then expect the international community to recognise him and the ‘stability’ that he would represent in a similar way to which the international community recognised Egypt’s Marshall Sisi after he overthrew the democratically-elected Mohamed Morsi.

The second is that even if he fails, his assault on Tripoli would set him as the most influential party in any subsequent talks. 


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Why would the UAE back a coup in Yemen?

For the UAE, a divided Yemen is not necessarily counter to its national interests. A Southern Yemen would be expected to remember the UAE’s efforts in providing them with the logistics, financing, and weaponry that now allows them to threaten the Hadi’s government. Hani Bin Buraik himself has chosen a picture of himself with Mohamed Bin Zayed as his cover photo on twitter. Houthis are likely to entertain demands for independence, content with their military gains in the North and aware that their capabilities do not allow for more territorial gains.


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Understanding Narratives

We assist clients with our specialist knowledge through insights and intelligence to seize opportunities, and to navigate volatile environments. We help you stay up to date with events, and make sense of them, as they unfold.



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